Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 2016
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Tue Aug 27 2024 20:56:56

ACUS11 KWNS 272056
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 272056=20
OHZ000-MIZ000-INZ000-272300-

Mesoscale Discussion 2016
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0356 PM CDT Tue Aug 27 2024

Areas affected...northern Indiana into northwest Ohio and southeast
Lower Michigan

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible=20

Valid 272056Z - 272300Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...60 percent

SUMMARY...New storms continue to develop southwestward along the
wind shift, and locally damaging gusts may develop.

DISCUSSION...Robust storms have developed recently extending
southwest of the existing watch over Lower MI. These storms will
interact with a very unstable air mass with sufficient deep-layer
mean wind speeds to allow for forward propagation over the next
several hours. Given the high precipitable water and steep low-level
lapse rates coincident with peak heating, water-loaded downdrafts
may potentially become severe.

...Jewell/Guyer.. 08/27/2024

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!5QIMwH9ASxZd_OAbVpYlS3KqhP8QQ5ACJ_CNirsoy-4EhQ8uIcbBT3Jw2fB3YyWH71PTYT1ei=
4F9WuQ7eUzgMwFIBQM$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...CLE...DTX...IWX...GRR...

LAT...LON   41298666 41688622 41978549 42138470 42148405 42178342
            42008314 41528331 40958404 40778469 40618553 40718610
            40838657 41298666=20


=3D =3D =3D
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