Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 2012
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Tue Aug 27 2024 10:58:18

ACUS11 KWNS 271058
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 271057=20
WIZ000-MNZ000-271230-

Mesoscale Discussion 2012
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0557 AM CDT Tue Aug 27 2024

Areas affected...eastern Minnesota and western Wisconsin

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely=20

Valid 271057Z - 271230Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

SUMMARY...A locally greater severe wind threat will persist across
eastern Minnesota and western Wisconsin for a few hours this
morning.

DISCUSSION...A line of mostly sub-severe storms moved across
Minnesota this morning. On the southern extent of this line, a more
organized severe wind threat developed with measured wind gusts of
50 to 60 knots in portions of the Minneapolis/St. Paul metro area
after several hours of minimal evidence of severe winds prior. The
environment across western Wisconsin is somewhat cooler, upper 60s
vs lower 70s temperatures. This may weaken this portion of the line
as it moves east. However, it is also possible that this southern
extent of the main line remains anchored to the instability gradient
and access to more favorable theta-e and is able to produce
additional isolated severe wind through the morning across western
Wisconsin. A watch is not anticipated due to the confined nature of
the threat at this time.

...Bentley/Edwards.. 08/27/2024

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!9QZOHeW_RhMryyolu8mwyBpSa3wzSBfF7MA-5jsL4I-Q95fNdDBGuirhf_fdI0oxItdzX_Y8O=
65QLHvBVFQzGJ5X7mU$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...ARX...MPX...

LAT...LON   45159339 45459241 45499088 45119057 44749111 44639229
            44579281 44649329 45159339=20


=3D =3D =3D
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