Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1955
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Mon Aug 19 2024 18:26:04

ACUS11 KWNS 191826
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 191825=20
MEZ000-MAZ000-NHZ000-RIZ000-CTZ000-NYZ000-VTZ000-NJZ000-PAZ000-DEZ000-MDZ00=
0-192030-

Mesoscale Discussion 1955
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0125 PM CDT Mon Aug 19 2024

Areas affected...portions of New England

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely=20

Valid 191825Z - 192030Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent

SUMMARY...Scattered thunderstorm activity may produce strong to
severe gusts through the afternoon.

DISCUSSION...Thunderstorm activity ongoing along and ahead of a cold
front across portions of New England has shown an uptick in coverage
over the last hour. Much of the region has been under mid-level
cloud cover through the morning. However, a few breaks in the clouds
have allowed temperatures to warm into the 80s with MLCAPE around
500-1000 J/kg. Deep layer shear for organization remains mostly
offshore, with poor low to mid-level lapse rates. A few clusters of
stronger storms may produce strong to severe gusts at times.
Overall, the lack of support for organization of a more widespread
severe threat will keep this threat localized precluding the need to
for a watch.

...Thornton/Hart.. 08/19/2024

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!_9ZjlbymzFTs-WdDSK6EDRRybnhhpgelUIuiAJjNbxM-iT-EKeeSdo0lkaQi9dSQPHG5OWSjG=
oQMxXcFNldavD1yaDg$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...GYX...BOX...BTV...OKX...ALY...PHI...BGM...CTP...
LWX...

LAT...LON   39177503 39167532 39297597 39877626 40557581 43067419
            43987278 43997120 43827082 43107066 42647086 41797190
            39317479 39177503=20


=3D =3D =3D
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