Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1876
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Fri Aug 09 2024 20:58:03

ACUS11 KWNS 092057
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 092057=20
MAZ000-VTZ000-NYZ000-092230-

Mesoscale Discussion 1876
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0357 PM CDT Fri Aug 09 2024

Areas affected...Portions of eastern NY...southern VT...and western
MA

Concerning...Tornado Watch 617...

Valid 092057Z - 092230Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 617 continues.

SUMMARY...Locally damaging gusts and perhaps a tornado or two remain
possible across portions of Tornado Watch 617 in this evening.

DISCUSSION...A band of low-topped thunderstorms is tracking eastward
across portions of eastern NY this afternoon, though weak
instability has generally limited updraft intensity thus far.
However, very strong west-southwesterly deep-layer flow/shear could
still support locally damaging gusts if any updrafts within the line
are able to mature. And, with around 400 m2/s2 effective SRH ahead
of the convection, a brief tornado or two cannot be ruled out.

...Weinman.. 08/09/2024

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!_JmzXJD5rBClWTQnH_FrZ4A0ncKDfFuL_9oyuccWokemUZG5mHJwHwjOarpWGlwaO3C1jwJpt=
5eZXRLIoJMWF-udENY$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...BOX...BTV...ALY...

LAT...LON   42307386 42597375 43197349 43647381 43747366 43797335
            43607285 43327261 42627275 42147321 42107373 42307386=20


=3D =3D =3D
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