Subj : DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Wed Aug 07 2024 17:22:23

ACUS02 KWNS 071722
SWODY2
SPC AC 071720

Day 2 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1220 PM CDT Wed Aug 07 2024

Valid 081200Z - 091200Z

....THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ON THURSDAY ACROSS
PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND SOUTH-CENTRAL
VIRGINIA...

....SUMMARY...
Thunderstorms developing Thursday across the coastal plain of
eastern North Carolina through southern Virginia may be accompanied
by potential for a few tornadoes, as Debby moves inland across the
south Atlantic coast.

....NC/VA...
Debby will likely remain a Tropical Storm as the system tracks
northward across the Carolinas on Thursday.  Strong southeasterly
low-level winds in the eastern semi-circle will result in favorable
shear profiles for a few tornadoes.  So far with this system, a lack
of heating in the more strongly sheared areas has limited overall
tornado potential.  However, 12z CAM solutions suggest the potential
for more heating across parts of central NC and southern VA
tomorrow, lending some concern for an uptick in risk.

....Southwest...
Scattered or greater coverage of thunderstorms is expected on
Thursday across much of the southern Rockies, southern Great Basin,
and Four Corners regions.  Pockets of strong daytime heating and
steep lapse rates will result in the potential for damaging wind
gusts in some areas, although confidence in the mesoscale details of
these risk areas is low at this time.  Portions of this region may
need an upgrade to MRGL risk in subsequent outlook updates.

...Hart.. 08/07/2024

$$

= = =
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM and you already have a login, go to
https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link.  Otherwise email
Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-STORM.

--- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
 * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)

.