Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1846
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Tue Aug 06 2024 19:58:41

ACUS11 KWNS 061958
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 061958 COR
NCZ000-SCZ000-062100-

Mesoscale Discussion 1846
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0258 PM CDT Tue Aug 06 2024

Areas affected...portions of eastern North Carolina

Concerning...Tornado Watch 603...

Valid 061958Z - 062100Z

CORRECTED FOR WORDING

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 603 continues.

SUMMARY...An isolated tornado threat should continue through the
afternoon across Tornado Watch 603. A replacement tornado watch may
be needed.

DISCUSSION...Occasionally transient supercells have produced brief
bouts of appreciable low-level rotation over the past few hours
along the NC coastline. However, no tornado reports have been
received, or indicated via a TDS on radar. Given widespread cloud
cover and precipitation, the inland airmass has struggled to
destabilize. While regional VADs show curved low-level hodographs
and potentially greater than 200 m2/s2 0-1 and 0-3 km SRH, the
limited buoyancy may temper the tornado threat to a degree.
Nonetheless, the stronger low-level shear will overspread existent
buoyancy for several hours this afternoon, affording the opportunity
for at least a couple of brief tornadoes to occur. As such, a
replacement watch may be needed in the next hour, as Tornado Watch
603 expires.

...Squitieri/Hart.. 08/06/2024

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!-2Ktj463S1qW0bgchNjaGgnc5iPRFCwfBRKnwetmkUZP4Y7DsRZKiheDwhmDxIkOfOcT1DTrq=
VOfVFSwW1wV0aUlkmU$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...MHX...RAH...ILM...

LAT...LON   33867876 34757845 34997778 35047682 34857656 34537674
            34127748 33827781 33697832 33867876=20


=3D =3D =3D
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