Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1826
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Mon Aug 05 2024 18:50:31

ACUS11 KWNS 051850
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 051849=20
SCZ000-GAZ000-FLZ000-052015-

Mesoscale Discussion 1826
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0149 PM CDT Mon Aug 05 2024

Areas affected...coastal and near coastal counties of Georgia and
South Carolina.

Concerning...Severe potential...Tornado Watch likely=20

Valid 051849Z - 052015Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...95 percent

SUMMARY...A new tornado watch will be needed later this afternoon in
coastal areas across eastern Georgia and eastern South Carolina.

DISCUSSION...Instability has mostly struggled to move inland within
the northeastern quadrant of Tropical Storm Debby where persistent
stratiform rain has been present all day. A push of higher moisture
content and greater instability is advancing toward the
Georgia/South Carolina coast. This may result in a greater threat
for cellular convection and stronger updrafts late this afternoon
and this evening. Any storms which can develop would pose a tornado
threat given the favorable wind shear sampled by the JAX VWP. In
addition, the low-level hodograph is starting to elongate at CLX,
with this increasing low-level shear expected to advance up the
coast this evening and into the overnight hours. With tornado watch
596 expiring at 20Z, a new tornado watch will be issued for portions
of coastal South Carolina and parts of Coastal Georgia.

...Bentley/Hart.. 08/05/2024

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!_9g5fU0j0zSOPpXfTqg_DF7N2_Ui29CeU_0Rnn4eAT2APhVsuuFM_xvPrmfqgrDm_jjZEEj9Y=
_Mg4nJPPjrvTBu6Fvk$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...ILM...CHS...JAX...

LAT...LON   31978066 31278111 30698135 30438153 30768182 31158185
            31458176 32618127 33228028 33787963 33887905 33847864
            33617866 33237899 32947920 32428005 31978066=20


=3D =3D =3D
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