Subj : DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Sat Aug 03 2024 00:38:34

ACUS01 KWNS 030038
SWODY1
SPC AC 030037

Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0737 PM CDT Fri Aug 02 2024

Valid 030100Z - 031200Z

....THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF
CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI/ALABAMA...THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS...AND
SOUTHEAST ARIZONA...

....SUMMARY...
Strong to locally severe storms remain possible this evening across
parts of central Mississippi/Alabama, the central High Plains, and
southeast Arizona.

....01z Update...

Severe probabilities have been removed from much of the eastern U.S.
While a strong storm or two may produce gusty winds from the central
Appalachians to the Ohio Valley, weak vertical shear and a
cooling/stabilizing boundary-layer will limit severe potential the
remainder of the night. A storm or two may also produce strong gusts
across parts of the Mid-Atlantic before moving offshore, but overall
trends have decreased and severe potential is expected to be
limited.

A southward developing band of storms may continue to produce
locally strong/damaging gusts across parts of central MS/AL for a
few more hours this evening within a strongly unstable but weakly
sheared environment. The Marginal Risk (level 1 of 5) has been
reoriented and shifted a bit further south in AL to account for
ongoing trends.

Additional strong storms are possible for another few hours this
evening across the central High Plains. The Marginal Risk (level 1
of 5) has been expanded eastward across a small part of NE to
account for current radar trends. Isolated large hail and strong
gusts are possible with this activity across western NE/northeast CO
into extreme northwest KS. Other more isolated strong storms remain
possible across southeast AZ for a few more hours as well.

...Leitman.. 08/03/2024

$$

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