Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1782
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Thu Aug 01 2024 04:30:16

ACUS11 KWNS 010430
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 010429=20
MNZ000-IAZ000-010530-

Mesoscale Discussion 1782
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1129 PM CDT Wed Jul 31 2024

Areas affected...Southeast Minnesota

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 585...

Valid 010429Z - 010530Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 585
continues.

SUMMARY...A marginal wind-damage threat is expected to continue over
the next 1 to 2 hours across southeast Minnesota. The threat should
be too isolated for new weather watch issuance, and WW 585 will be
allowed to expire at 06Z.

DISCUSSION...Mosaic radar imagery currently shows a line of
thunderstorms from far southern Minnesota into northeast Iowa. This
line is located along the northern edge of a pocket of moderate
instability. RAP analysis has MLCAPE across much of southeastern
Minnesota in the 1000 to 2000 J/Kg range. As the line moves
east-northeastward across southeast Minnesota over the next couple
of hours, a severe wind gust will be possible. However, decreasing
instability will likely contribute to any severe threat becoming
more marginal with time.

...Broyles/Smith.. 08/01/2024

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!5DmtDpH0stEj5OaRzsFFGEUY42XtjAYSGOI6wSClfZtyw-hm6zmtOhnuCo08PRDb2INdNf2wB=
sAjMqC1Inu76Gfm9jg$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...ARX...MPX...

LAT...LON   44029168 44539239 44719315 44589387 44339411 43879406
            43559380 43509318 43489248 43519177 44029168=20


=3D =3D =3D
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