Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1768
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Wed Jul 31 2024 18:39:38

ACUS11 KWNS 311839
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 311838=20
WIZ000-MNZ000-SDZ000-NDZ000-312015-

Mesoscale Discussion 1768
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0138 PM CDT Wed Jul 31 2024

Areas affected...central MN and far northwest WI

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 579...

Valid 311838Z - 312015Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 579
continues.

SUMMARY...A well developed bow echo will continue to produce
damaging gusts in the 60-80 mph range across west-central MN. This
activity will likely remain severe into portions of
northeast/east-central MN and perhaps far northwest WI, and a new
severe thunderstorm watch will likely be needed downstream from WW
579.

DISCUSSION...A well developed bow echo is moving across west-central
MN within a strongly unstable airmass characterized by dewpoints in
the low 70s F and steep midlevel lapse rates. While vertical shear
weakens with northward extent, latest mesoanalysis and region VWP
data suggest effective shear magnitudes have increased across
northeast/east-central MN. Furthermore, VWP data from KABR has
measured rear-inflow around 55-70 kt between 3-6 km. Given favorable
low-level moisture, strong instability and at least modestly
favorable vertical shear, expect this bow echo will continue
east/northeast and a downstream watch will likely be needed.

...Leitman.. 07/31/2024

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!5gyBnyfcz0-TtbbYCmbz8zp5H6dSSMsxex7pAOCHqz4Ow5I_lRVRl45b6b9UCzBxyuSe32AuI=
PefQQCQkjuvhMIFOlk$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...DLH...MPX...FGF...ABR...

LAT...LON   46539681 47369472 47269299 46629205 46149208 45789246
            45469365 45299505 45239639 45349678 45869706 46539681=20


=3D =3D =3D
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM and you already have a login, go to
https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link.  Otherwise email
Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-STORM.

--- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
 * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)

.