Subj : DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook To : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu From : COD Weather Processor Date : Tue Jul 30 2024 01:14:12 ACUS01 KWNS 300114 SWODY1 SPC AC 300112 Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0812 PM CDT Mon Jul 29 2024 Valid 300100Z - 301200Z ....THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PARTS OF THE CENTRAL/NORTHERN PLAINS...AND ALSO FROM CENTRAL/SOUTHERN LL/IN INTO SOUTHWEST OH AND MUCH OF KY... ....SUMMARY... Severe storms capable of large hail and wind gusts of 60-80 mph remain possible tonight across parts of the central and northern Plains. Another area of severe storms, with potential for damaging wind, isolated hail, and a couple of tornadoes, will affect portions of central/southern Illinois and Indiana into Kentucky tonight. ....Central/northern Plains... One intense thunderstorm cluster has evolved this evening across south-central SD, with another developing across northern SD/southern ND. Moderate to strong buoyancy and effective shear of 30-40 kt (as noted on 00Z regional soundings) will continue to support organized severe-thunderstorm potential. Any remaining discrete cells will continue to pose a threat of large hail, while the developing storm clusters could pose an increasing threat of severe gusts (potentially greater than 75 mph) through the evening. The Slight Risk has been expanded south and east to cover the potential severe-wind threat into late tonight. See MCD 1732 for more information regarding the threat across parts of southeast SD into eastern NE and western IA. ....IL/IN/KY vicinity... Robust storms are beginning to develop across parts of central IL/IN this evening, within an environment characterized by very rich low-level moisture, strong buoyancy, and moderate northwesterly deep-layer shear. Initial discrete development could pose a threat of hail and a couple of tornadoes, with some increase in low-level shear expected through the evening. Eventually, an upscale-growing cluster may develop and move southeastward, with an increasing damaging-wind threat into parts of KY. ....GA... A few stronger southward-moving storm clusters persist this evening across parts of western/central GA. These could continue to pose a short-term threat of damaging wind, before an expected weakening trend later tonight. ...Dean.. 07/30/2024 $$ = = = To unsubscribe from WX-STORM and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-STORM. --- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105) .