Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1703
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Wed Jul 24 2024 21:02:53

ACUS11 KWNS 242102
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 242102=20
NYZ000-PAZ000-WVZ000-OHZ000-242230-

Mesoscale Discussion 1703
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0402 PM CDT Wed Jul 24 2024

Areas affected...eastern Ohio...western and northern
Pennsylvania...and central New York

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely=20

Valid 242102Z - 242230Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

SUMMARY...Isolated to widely scattered thunderstorms will continue
to produce occasional damaging winds this afternoon/evening.

DISCUSSION...Scattered thunderstorms have developed within a broad
region of moderate instability (1000 to 1500 J/kg MLCAPE). None of
these storms have been particularly strong, but 25-30 knots of
effective shear have permitted some organized cells to
develop/persist from eastern Ohio into New York. Expect this
continue for several more hours with a threat for damaging wind
gusts before the threat lessens this evening as the boundary layer
begins to cool.=20

Despite several strong to severe storms, a watch is not anticipated
due to the widely scattered nature of the threat.

...Bentley/Thompson.. 07/24/2024

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!588gxXyelqwh6ZO7J11IexpligYz7kNxbWiMmUmyZydJrY_tV2pQsVpbc4Oq5Ol7nal3-XsK5=
DGj9LEyPmUOdWAWHvw$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...BTV...ALY...BGM...BUF...CTP...PBZ...RLX...CLE...
ILN...

LAT...LON   40028233 41817985 42827728 43587632 44307624 44587567
            44727486 44437456 43277451 42377499 41897616 40687843
            39648009 39468121 39608211 40028233=20


=3D =3D =3D
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