Subj : DAY48SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Tue Jul 16 2024 08:34:43

ACUS48 KWNS 160834
SWOD48
SPC AC 160833

Day 4-8 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0333 AM CDT Tue Jul 16 2024

Valid 191200Z - 241200Z

....DISCUSSION...
The extensive upper ridging expected to be in place from the
Southwest into western Canada early D4/Friday is forecast to persist
through the weekend and into early next week. Modest downstream
upper troughing across the central and eastern CONUS is expected to
persist as well, resulting in little change in the overall upper
pattern across the CONUS from D4/Friday into D8/Tuesday.

Moderate northwesterly flow aloft is expected between these two
features, extending across the northern and central High Plains on
D4/Friday and D5/Saturday before then shifting westward as the
overall upper pattern shifts slightly westward. This northwesterly
flow aloft could support some severe potential across the northern
and central High Plains, where modest low-level moisture beneath
vertically veering wind profiles could support a few strong to
severe storms on D4/Friday and D5/Saturday.

...Mosier.. 07/16/2024

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