Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1622 To : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu From : COD Weather Processor Date : Mon Jul 15 2024 02:36:57 ACUS11 KWNS 150236 SWOMCD SPC MCD 150236=20 INZ000-MIZ000-ILZ000-150330- Mesoscale Discussion 1622 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0936 PM CDT Sun Jul 14 2024 Areas affected...Northeast Illinois to northern Indiana Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible=20 Valid 150236Z - 150330Z Probability of Watch Issuance...60 percent SUMMARY...Damaging winds are expected with convection as it propagates across northern Illinois (Metro Chicago included) into northern Indiana. New Severe Thunderstorm Watch may be required immediately downstream. DISCUSSION...MCS is gradually growing upscale as it matures over southeast WI into northern Illinois. Latest radar data suggests an MCV may be forming over Walworth County as a bowing squall line is now surging east toward the Chicago Metro. Strong buoyancy extends ahead of this complex into northwest IN and LLJ is forecast to strengthen into this region over the next few hours. There is increasing confidence this MCS will progress beyond ww534 and a new watch may be warranted. ...Darrow/Gleason.. 07/15/2024 ....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!6PD7I5rVdlxWUxjaPJkcgTXpLEBrq-BlmrBoLLnL1pgw4vm4tx8qEB51ZHlpYIhXe-Z-ANqae= BYBvI5zHqd7octuvyI$ for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...IWX...GRR...IND...LOT... LAT...LON 42498757 42238598 41408557 40488623 40938803 41648863 42498757=20 =3D =3D =3D To unsubscribe from WX-STORM and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-STORM. --- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105) .