Subj : DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Thu Jul 11 2024 00:43:59

ACUS01 KWNS 110043
SWODY1
SPC AC 110042

Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0742 PM CDT Wed Jul 10 2024

Valid 110100Z - 111200Z

....THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM EASTERN PA TO
NORTHERN NH...

....SUMMARY...
A couple tornadoes along with scattered damaging winds remain
possible this evening, over a portion of the Upper Mid-Atlantic
States into western New England.

....01Z Update...
A broken convective swath, consisting of mainly semi-discrete cells
and short-linear clusters, should persist for a couple more hours
from parts of the Mid-Atlantic States into western New England. Rich
low-level moisture, characterized by low to mid 70s surface dew
points, may support a relatively slow decay to convective vigor
through late evening. Low-level wind profiles will subside more
quickly from south to north tonight. This will yield a spatially
diminishing threat away from the surface warm front, especially
overnight.

In the southeast NE/Lower MO Valley vicinity, the bulk of afternoon
convection has waned. But regenerative updrafts along the western
portion of the effective composite outflow/front may support an
isolated severe hail and marginally severe wind threat for a couple
more hours.

...Grams.. 07/11/2024

$$

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