Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1570
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Wed Jul 10 2024 17:15:55

ACUS11 KWNS 101715
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 101715=20
NYZ000-101845-

Mesoscale Discussion 1570
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1215 PM CDT Wed Jul 10 2024

Areas affected...Parts of central/northern New York

Concerning...Tornado Watch 517...

Valid 101715Z - 101845Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 517 continues.

SUMMARY...Discrete storms in central New York will encounter
increasingly favorable environment for tornadoes as the move
northeast the next 1-2 hours.

DISCUSSION...A few discrete storms have formed north-northeast of
Binghamton. With the more dense cloud cover shifting northward,
temperatures are beginning to rise into the low to mid 80s F ahead
of these storms. Given the favorable storm mode and low-level shear
near the warm front (effective SRH around 200 m2/s2 per objective
mesoanalysis), the tornado risk with these storms will likely
increase over the next 1-2 hours.

...Wendt.. 07/10/2024

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!-PaPNZG2YjEpjiXZOBrVkbbjngtcu0H1dArx-B3wQh6TKMdDnHIHEA-sj-gNX3SCp-VHGURn7=
jh3UK8AdJ3EgMHuOcg$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...BTV...ALY...BGM...BUF...

LAT...LON   42807597 43557580 43917540 44107453 43867407 43577392
            43127409 42637474 42527518 42427592 42447603 42807597=20


=3D =3D =3D
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