Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1547
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Sat Jul 06 2024 22:20:50

ACUS11 KWNS 062220
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 062220=20
KSZ000-062315-

Mesoscale Discussion 1547
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0520 PM CDT Sat Jul 06 2024

Areas affected...southwest Kansas

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely=20

Valid 062220Z - 062315Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent

SUMMARY...Severe thunderstorms will propagate south across western
Kansas this evening. New severe thunderstorm watch will likely be
issued soon.

DISCUSSION...An upward-evolving squall line has developed across
western KS just ahead of the primary synoptic front that is surging
south across the central high Plains. Northwesterly mid-level flow
will increase across western KS this evening and latest model
guidance favors a marked increase in the LLJ from the TX Panhandle
into southwest KS. This strongly supports a long-lived MCS that
should progress across southwest KS with an attendant risk for
wind/hail.

...Darrow/Hart.. 07/06/2024

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!7gupWwomn8x9_M3rUx7caw-5HaOW4414G0KCMTgid_Wv0L_oGP3kyjw4gbaEzjk9BB6yq0dWJ=
Tbm2jJWpoWs2oku2JE$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...ICT...DDC...GLD...

LAT...LON   38320113 38699908 37219819 37170095 38320113=20


=3D =3D =3D
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