Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1546
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Sat Jul 06 2024 22:01:20

ACUS11 KWNS 062201
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 062200=20
IAZ000-MOZ000-NEZ000-KSZ000-062300-

Mesoscale Discussion 1546
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0500 PM CDT Sat Jul 06 2024

Areas affected...Southeast Nebraska...Southwest Iowa...Northeast
Kansas...Northwest Missouri

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely=20

Valid 062200Z - 062300Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent

SUMMARY...New severe thunderstorm watch appears warranted for
portions of southeast Nebraska region.

DISCUSSION...Organized complex of severe thunderstorms has matured
over south-central Nebraska late this afternoon. This MCS is
propagating east into a reservoir of strong buoyancy represented by
MLCAPE values on the order of 1500 J/kg. LLJ is forecast to increase
across northeast KS into southeast NE over the next few hours which
should encourage downstream propagation and longevity of the MCS.
Large hail and damaging winds are expected and a new severe
thunderstorm watch appears warranted.

...Darrow/Hart.. 07/06/2024

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!-O4Z1MRSXkVViYM2pthSSXO0wb60LkQmIZZwWHXO7zd32N6r2uY2Osl3gs9J4ubKQ_Hp55kjM=
Xb2eVageuu_ymEU2QM$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...EAX...OAX...TOP...GID...

LAT...LON   41049721 41199544 40099521 39799683 40049776 41049721=20


=3D =3D =3D
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