Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1462
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Fri Jun 28 2024 20:56:31

ACUS11 KWNS 282056
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 282056=20
NEZ000-KSZ000-COZ000-282300-

Mesoscale Discussion 1462
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0356 PM CDT Fri Jun 28 2024

Areas affected...northeastern Colorado...southwestern
Nebraska...northwestern Kansas

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible=20

Valid 282056Z - 282300Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...40 percent

SUMMARY...Isolated to scattered high based storms to develop through
the afternoon/evening with potential for damaging winds and large
hail.

DISCUSSION...Visible satellite shows a region of towering cumulus
across southeastern Wyoming into the Front Range in Colorado, with a
few recent attempts at thunderstorm initiation. This largely region
remains under the influence of mid-level capping, though recent
radar observations did indicate cells producing lightning briefly in
the Nebraska panhandle. Trends in cumulus development and several
initiation attempts indicate mid-level capping may be eroding, with
potential for additional thunderstorm development within the next
1-2 hours. Low-level moisture is meager, with high-based elevated
cells expected that likely need to move into the richer low-level
moisture and increasing deep layer shear to the east across western
Nebraska/Kansas before become more organized. Damaging winds and
large hail will be possible. This area is being monitored for trends
for watch potential through the afternoon/evening.

...Thornton/Gleason.. 06/28/2024

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!6UgzB_TFw_-eZWUfzoKUx0YXtmSKEJ41QP2BsnpV8Fymb4YptjimcyXwLGVKXoRfGRaLLVK_e=
xEaRDhBc_AJ1MSuZv4$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...LBF...DDC...GLD...BOU...CYS...

LAT...LON   40410440 40690431 41760277 41720214 41590120 40820075
            40080051 39320049 38590067 38510157 39290326 40000446
            40410440=20


=3D =3D =3D
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