Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1420
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Wed Jun 26 2024 04:14:36

ACUS11 KWNS 260414
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 260413=20
MOZ000-IAZ000-KSZ000-NEZ000-260515-

Mesoscale Discussion 1420
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1113 PM CDT Tue Jun 25 2024

Areas affected...southeastern Nebraska...northeastern
Kansas...southwestern Iowa...and northwestern Missouri

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely=20

Valid 260413Z - 260515Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...95 percent

SUMMARY...Scattered strong/severe storms over portions of Nebraska
and southern Iowa should expand southeastward and increase in
coverage over the next few hours.  New WW -- extending into
northeastern Kansas and northwestern Missouri, will be needed
shortly.

DISCUSSION...Latest radar loop shows clusters of strong/severe
storms from north-central Nebraska to southwestern Iowa, moving
steadily southeastward.  With a moderately unstable airmass (3000 to
3500 J/kg mixed-layer CAPE per RAP-based objective analysis) ahead
of the convection into Kansas/Missouri, and a moderate southwesterly
low-level jet observed, continued southeasterly advance of the
convection is expected.  With this area beneath the
leading/expanding edge of stronger mid-level northwesterly flow,
storms should organize/grow upscale with time, propagating southward
with attendant risks for large hail and damaging winds.  The
anticipated/expanding risk will warrant new WW issuance shortly.

...Goss/Gleason.. 06/26/2024

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!4EKK1hCFXEsXIoMn4gDbqTg6EfoLkotQ0h7-uM49_i5241wJLPhI7sEgccwSu2D2y0Hq_wHdK=
KqtncT99ckcMU7nGKQ$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...DMX...EAX...OAX...TOP...

LAT...LON   38559430 38839636 39669721 41009719 41499708 40849273
            39109251 38729296 38559430=20


=3D =3D =3D
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM and you already have a login, go to
https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link.  Otherwise email
Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-STORM.

--- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
 * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)

.