Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1245
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Thu Jun 13 2024 02:12:17

ACUS11 KWNS 130212
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 130211=20
IAZ000-NEZ000-130415-

Mesoscale Discussion 1245
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0911 PM CDT Wed Jun 12 2024

Areas affected...far eastern Nebraska into western Iowa

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 407...

Valid 130211Z - 130415Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 407
continues.

SUMMARY...The threat of large hail persists over a small area of
eastern Nebraska into western Iowa in the near term. Storms will
likely shrink in size during the next 1-2 hours.

DISCUSSION...A pair of large supercells with history of very large
hail remain over western IA into far eastern NE near the Omaha area.
The 00Z sounding from OAX shows a rather deep moist layer up to
nearly 700 mb, not far from the LFC, with favorable deep-layer
shear.=20

Given the loss of heating, the cooling boundary layer will gain
convective inhibition relatively quickly, perhaps in the next hour,
which should result in a weakening trend with these cells. Until
then, hail will remain likely through about 03-04Z, with locally
gusty winds as well prior to

...Jewell.. 06/13/2024

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!-pjMLp0SLjMs6p17975h-4YhcJTU4KhEohGzb2ednnenTIILowIcZUhOEkXZlV8tivYYGDMlt=
WbV35KP7wGcIcnDr5E$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...OAX...

LAT...LON   41439612 41529605 41629584 41619552 41529532 41039511
            40829514 40729539 40749566 40889593 41119610 41439612=20


=3D =3D =3D
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM and you already have a login, go to
https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link.  Otherwise email
Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-STORM.

--- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
 * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)

.