Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1243
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Wed Jun 12 2024 23:31:47

ACUS11 KWNS 122331
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 122331=20
WIZ000-MNZ000-130030-

Mesoscale Discussion 1243
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0631 PM CDT Wed Jun 12 2024

Areas affected...Portions of central and eastern Minnesota

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 405...

Valid 122331Z - 130030Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 405
continues.

SUMMARY...A localized tornado threat is evolving over portions of
central/eastern Minnesota. The area is being considered for a small
tornado watch.

DISCUSSION...Following several splitting supercells along a surface
trough/wind shift over central/eastern MN, latest radar data shows
dominant right-moving thunderstorms taking shape. This evolution is
being aided by an increasingly large, clockwise-turning low-level
hodograph (around 300 m2/s2 0-1 km SRH per MPX VWP). Given this
hodograph and favorable low-level moisture in place downstream of
the intensifying storms, a localized tornado risk is possible for
the next couple hours. The area is being considered for a small
tornado watch.

...Weinman/Smith.. 06/12/2024

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!994Cy34nwOPu4dQ3J71if2HZFFXI_cRkaZ4rTcIodixVNc0WS_2aZjsUJzmsl_Ix0fMZIitb1=
5zpBD2E8pAhGcdgtG8$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...DLH...MPX...

LAT...LON   46649407 47079295 47049249 46719207 46149253 45439387
            45389472 45499529 45859514 46649407=20


=3D =3D =3D
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