Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1224
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Mon Jun 10 2024 02:16:58

ACUS11 KWNS 100216
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 100216=20
MSZ000-ARZ000-100345-

Mesoscale Discussion 1224
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0916 PM CDT Sun Jun 09 2024

Areas affected...Central/southern AR into northern MS

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 401...

Valid 100216Z - 100345Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 401
continues.

SUMMARY...A strong storm or two remains possible late this evening,
but any remaining severe threat is expected to be isolated.

DISCUSSION...Convection has generally weakened and become less
organized this evening from central AR into northern MS, with a
tendency for storms to be undercut by an outflow-reinforced front.
However, relatively rich low-level moisture persists north of the
outflow, and moderate buoyancy could still support a few stronger
storms late this evening, with effective shear still marginally
supportive of organized convection. Isolated hail and/or damaging
gusts cannot be ruled out late this evening, especially with any
left-moving cell (such as the severe storm earlier in Lee County,
MS). However, if current trends continue, additional watch issuance
across the area after the expiration of WW 401 is not anticipated.

...Dean/Bunting.. 06/10/2024

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!6gzULfBJcfzWzDuKQk1F-8slpPZbTI3NUQ73f-BcDPtCUPQTpYJs1D72QkLAPnd5WNotSA5Tx=
dRj_W6vqRTL79doNFc$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...MEG...JAN...LZK...SHV...

LAT...LON   34489443 34839324 35029233 34589038 34028907 33458856
            33078865 32998914 33109057 34199444 34489443=20


=3D =3D =3D
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