Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1174
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Wed Jun 05 2024 16:55:13

ACUS11 KWNS 051655
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 051654=20
MEZ000-MAZ000-NHZ000-051900-

Mesoscale Discussion 1174
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1154 AM CDT Wed Jun 05 2024

Areas affected...Much of Maine and southern New Hampshire

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely=20

Valid 051654Z - 051900Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

SUMMARY...Scattered afternoon thunderstorms are expected to develop
across parts of ME and southern NH.  A few strong/severe storms are
possible with gusty winds and hail.  A WW is not currently
anticipated.

DISCUSSION...Visible satellite imagery shows increasing cu/tcu
across western ME and southern NH.  This area has warmed into the
70s and lower 80s, with dewpoints in the mid 60s yielding SBCAPE
values of 1000-1500 J/kg.  Relatively steep low-level lapse rates
and sufficiently strong northwesterly flow aloft will aid in the
development of a few organized cells this afternoon capable of
locally gusty winds.  Cold temperatures aloft and moderately steep
mid-level lapse rates may also encourage the risk of hail in the
strongest cells.  It appears that the overall coverage of
strong/severe storms will be limited.  Thus, a WW is not currently
anticipated.

...Hart/Smith.. 06/05/2024

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!6E34VEvgWdUyEYCPrrBmn5Yka2l_2tnUFq7Eq9-wTzfrORbxRK8L9upWWGEKap_ndln48aQ2E=
1TuD3cx_KSAFz4xACQ$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...CAR...GYX...BOX...

LAT...LON   42807103 43037170 43717163 44677089 45906979 46296853
            46016746 45146724 44346776 43996855 43127028 42807103=20


=3D =3D =3D
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