Subj : DAY48SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Mon Jun 03 2024 08:33:47

ACUS48 KWNS 030833
SWOD48
SPC AC 030832

Day 4-8 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0332 AM CDT Mon Jun 03 2024

Valid 061200Z - 111200Z

....DISCUSSION...
Medium-range guidance continues to vary on the strength and
evolution of the mid-latitude cyclone forecast to be over the Upper
Great Lakes/southern Ontario vicinity early D4/Thursday. Even with
this variance, the overall pattern remains fairly similar with the
cyclone drifting gradually eastward/southeastward into the Northeast
from D4/Thursday through D6/Saturday. At the same time, upper
ridging is forecast to build from the southern Plains into the
Pacific Northwest/British Columbia. A belt of strong northwesterlies
is anticipated between these two features, from the Canadian
Prairies across the Upper Midwest and OH Valley and into the
Mid-Atlantic, through the weekend.

The greater low-level moisture and buoyancy will likely remain
confined to the southern Plains and Southeast on D4/Thursday and
D5/Friday, before some moisture advection takes it back into the
central Plains on D6/Saturday and D7/Sunday. No synoptic features
are forecast to interact with this moisture across the
southern/central Plains, but daily afternoon thunderstorm
development along the lee trough across central/southern High Plains
appears possible. However, predictability of coverage and severity
is low at this forecast range.

...Mosier.. 06/03/2024

= = =
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM and you already have a login, go to
https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link.  Otherwise email
Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-STORM.

--- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
 * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)

.