Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1145
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Mon Jun 03 2024 04:23:28

ACUS11 KWNS 030423
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 030422=20
LAZ000-ARZ000-TXZ000-030615-

Mesoscale Discussion 1145
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1122 PM CDT Sun Jun 02 2024

Areas affected...East Texas...Central and Northern Louisiana...Far
Southern Arkansas

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 380...

Valid 030422Z - 030615Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 380
continues.

SUMMARY...An isolated wind-damage threat should continue for another
hour or two across parts of east Texas and central to northern
Louisiana. The threat is expected to be too marginal for watch
issuance downstream from the current watch.

DISCUSSION...The latest mosaic radar imagery shows a linear MCS from
parts of the east Texas into western and northern Louisiana. RAP
analysis has moderate instability located ahead of the line across
parts of the lower Mississippi Valley, where MLCAPE is estimated to
be in the 15000 to 2500 J/kg range. This, along with surface
dewpoints in the mid to upper 70s F, should be sufficient for
isolated damaging wind gusts. However, weakening instability ahead
of the line should continue to result in a downtrend concerning
convective intensity.

...Broyles.. 06/03/2024

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!97Bvqx--7fdiSkc-qETaB8vIcjD3dpHwOrrGopGn3iUyrnKgzQCkkXsGXbqmwWWdi3gxGqYIT=
SkmnJN3z1VKgRBj1YI$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...JAN...LZK...LCH...SHV...HGX...

LAT...LON   32659171 33189197 33369239 33249285 32519296 32129309
            31939341 31809409 31859477 31669526 31059518 30849465
            30809348 31049244 31399200 31909176 32659171=20


=3D =3D =3D
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