Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1123
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Sun Jun 02 2024 10:46:36

ACUS11 KWNS 021046
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 021046=20
TXZ000-021145-

Mesoscale Discussion 1123
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0546 AM CDT Sun Jun 02 2024

Areas affected...the Eastern TX Panhandle

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely=20

Valid 021046Z - 021145Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

SUMMARY...A supercell over the eastern Texas Panhandle may persist
for a couple more hours as it drifts southward. A confined swath of
large hail and severe wind gusts will be possible. The limited
spatial extent and uncertainty over longevity should preclude a WW
issuance.

DISCUSSION...Along the trailing outflow from a decayed MCS and
remnant MCV over north-central OK, a supercell formed last hour in
the northeast TX Panhandle. This storm has been rather slow-moving,
drifting southward near 10 kts across Roberts County. Occasionally,
this storm has had echo tops over 50k ft, along with MRMS MESH
around 2 inches. In addition, robust inbound velocities have also
been noted on the west to north side of the deep mesocyclone. With
the Amarillo VWP showing relatively stable 30-35 kt low-level
southerlies, it is plausible that this supercell may persist for at
least a couple more hours as it gradually drifts towards the I-40
corridor.

...Grams/Thompson.. 06/02/2024

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!6ikgZeMYB8YDQqrYdTp5Bjgg2ZK2li0OQbUPH5DYbtCCk7erhSAYk_03LKPQK2tSax1g3D7S2=
Jj5DUddhv-XswRSDp8$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...AMA...

LAT...LON   35910074 35730060 35500036 35270037 35160059 35100088
            35330118 35630120 35820115 35910074=20


=3D =3D =3D
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