Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1091
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Fri May 31 2024 08:20:36

ACUS11 KWNS 310820
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 310820=20
TXZ000-310945-

Mesoscale Discussion 1091
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0320 AM CDT Fri May 31 2024

Areas affected...Central to southeast TX

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 358...

Valid 310820Z - 310945Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 358
continues.

SUMMARY...A severe wind threat will persist through daybreak with a
bowing QLCS and expand into parts of east-central to southeast
Texas. An additional severe thunderstorm watch is expected to parts
of the Southeast Texas Coastal Plain. Wind gusts of 50-65 mph will
remain likely with localized enhancements of 65-80 mph possible.

DISCUSSION...A bowing QLCS has accelerated in forward motion across
central TX to around 45-50 kts, with measured wind gusts to 62 mph
reported thus far. This eastward surge along the northeast portion
of the QLCS will likely persist into east-central TX before it
impinges on remnant stratiform rain and greater low-level stability
over northeast TX.

A secondary bowing surge may eventually emanate out of the trailing
southwest portion of the QLCS. Persistent deep convection here is
about to impinge on the warmer/more moist boundary-layer west of
Austin. This may similarly begin to intensify and surge
southeastward through the greater Austin area and eventually towards
the Houston Metro area. With favorable low-level inflow and
pronounced enhancement to rearward flow based on time-series of DYX
VWP data, it is appears likely that an organized QLCS will continue
towards the southeast TX Coastal Plain through daybreak.

...Grams/Thompson.. 05/31/2024

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!4Rp1IaxrsmBVblPcG5XGpkMoGm3IriRDLUGCnvlvcFDSCy9Ijw4_YmLvffMUPj906JrTZ2_im=
UxvIR8KXNRDpiHlxdY$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...SHV...HGX...FWD...EWX...SJT...

LAT...LON   32199761 32139718 32049667 31899597 31599518 30999481
            30529474 30209479 29609506 29349671 29949799 30239870
            30679920 30969887 31209796 31469773 32199761=20


=3D =3D =3D
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