Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1076
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Thu May 30 2024 13:55:25

ACUS11 KWNS 301355
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 301355=20
TXZ000-OKZ000-301530-

Mesoscale Discussion 1076
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0855 AM CDT Thu May 30 2024

Areas affected...northwest Texas

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely=20

Valid 301355Z - 301530Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

SUMMARY...Sporadic strong gusts of 40-50 mph are possible with a
line of thunderstorms developing southeast through the morning.

DISCUSSION...A line of storms will continue to develop
south/southeast across the Texas South Plains/northwest Texas
vicinity this morning. Recent observations from the West Texas
Mesonet indicated gusts of 40-50 mph have occurred near Wellington,
while KCDS gusted to 63 mph. This activity will continue to move
into an unstable airmass characterized by low to mid 60s F dewpoints
and around 1000 J/kg MLCAPE. Portions of the downstream airmass have
likely been impacted by another cluster of storms that moved over
this area and is now located of north Texas. At least weak low-level
inhibition is evident in regional 12z RAOBs and latest SPC
Mesoanalysis. As a result of impacts from prior convection and a
still weakly capped environment, expect convection to largely remain
sub-severe in this short term, with gusts mostly in the 40-50 mph
range possible, though isolated locally stronger gusts will be
possible. A watch is not expected at this time.

...Leitman/Guyer.. 05/30/2024

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!7LkQGz3c8CRnbVEx85QP0KwKPxj4yPnf6H5o_52Uznn_PzkwPTfgmJm_n7zCbyttm8rW_zrTC=
NYNTwmWg14N-A2z9Do$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...OUN...SJT...LUB...AMA...

LAT...LON   34810053 34949973 34709940 34339937 33649954 33249985
            33170074 33280163 33480198 33870207 34200200 34450151
            34810053=20


=3D =3D =3D
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