Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1050
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Tue May 28 2024 19:14:40

ACUS11 KWNS 281914
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 281913=20
MTZ000-IDZ000-282145-

Mesoscale Discussion 1050
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0213 PM CDT Tue May 28 2024

Areas affected...portions of central...southern...and eastern Idaho
into southwestern Montana

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely=20

Valid 281913Z - 282145Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

SUMMARY...A couple of severe gusts will be possible with the
stronger storms today. The severe threat should be sparse and a WW
issuance is not expected.

DISCUSSION...High-based thunderstorms are gradually increasing in
coverage over portions of central ID into southwestern MT. These
storms are developing atop a deep boundary layer, comprised of 9-10
C/km surface-500 mb lapse rates (per latest RAP forecast soundings).
The stronger, longer-lasting thunderstorms may generate enough
evaporative cooling to support strong downbursts, where a couple of
severe surface gusts may be observed. Still, the severe threat will
be isolated, precluding the need of a WW issuance.

...Squitieri/Hart.. 05/28/2024

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!4LVu7_FUmo1nepWnpElOOXryQlsl-u_qwDEBNhrJ4hKnzbI95BJRzaLvEI_E858MfWSSnHuE_=
NEypX1rn1kfRNznXYY$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...TFX...PIH...MSO...BOI...

LAT...LON   42271660 44711616 47641384 47721205 47301167 46331191
            45001199 43531198 42571237 42221305 42031498 42271660=20


=3D =3D =3D
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM and you already have a login, go to
https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link.  Otherwise email
Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-STORM.

--- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
 * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)

.