Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0968
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Sun May 26 2024 06:04:39

ACUS11 KWNS 260604
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 260603=20
MOZ000-ARZ000-OKZ000-260800-

Mesoscale Discussion 0968
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0103 AM CDT Sun May 26 2024

Areas affected...south-central and southeastern Missouri into
northern Arkansas

Concerning...Tornado Watch 311...

Valid 260603Z - 260800Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 311 continues.

SUMMARY...Storms continue moving eastward across central and
southern Missouri and now, portions of far northwestern Arkansas --
within WW 311.  As storms continue eastward, new WW issuance is
anticipated.

DISCUSSION...Latest radar loop shows strong/locally severe storms,
including a pair of supercells (one crossing Polk and Dallas
Counties in Missouri and the other over Delaware County Oklahoma and
moving into Benton County Arkansas), moving eastward into/across the
Ozarks area.  Downstream from these storms, RAP-based objective
analysis shows a favorably unstable airmass to the southwest of a
warm front that roughly bisects Missouri from northwest to
southeast.  Given the available warm-sector airmass, and favorably
strong/veering flow with height indicated across this region, it
would appear that severe risk will continue to expand downstream
from WW 311 over the next 1 to 2 hours, likely warranting new WW
issuance.

...Edwards.. 05/26/2024

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!4wuPD0evboJ3UWDGifhHc9-8o81QnVc91bsvmf0WoqKQyPe42IafAI0sd5JFkbe6gCS2rkfGd=
lG0B5uUhCFK5ow-Hgo$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...PAH...MEG...LSX...LZK...SGF...TSA...

LAT...LON   35779483 36539466 37939318 38359242 38229072 37378979
            35829059 35779483=20


=3D =3D =3D
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