Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0931
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Fri May 24 2024 17:34:22

ACUS11 KWNS 241734
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 241733=20
SCZ000-GAZ000-241900-

Mesoscale Discussion 0931
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1233 PM CDT Fri May 24 2024

Areas affected...portions of central Georgia into central and
southern South Carolina

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely=20

Valid 241733Z - 241900Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

SUMMARY...A couple instances of severe hail or wind could accompany
the stronger storms. The severe threat is expected to be isolated,
and a WW issuance is not currently expected.

DISCUSSION...Convective initiation is underway across portions of
central GA, where convective temperatures have been reached. These
storms should continue eastward amid a moist, buoyant airmass, with
upper 60s F surface dewpoints and 7-8 C/km low-level lapse rates
contributing to 1500-2000 J/kg of MLCAPE. Tropospheric wind fields
are not as strong as points farther west though, with some speed
shear contributing to mid-level hodograph elongation. Through the
afternoon, pulse-cellular and multicell storms should develop, with
isolated large hail and damaging gusts possible with the stronger
storms. Given the isolated nature of the severe threat, a WW
issuance is not currently anticipated.

...Squitieri/Guyer.. 05/24/2024

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!-VPooORYzEkrTQUTPs4FdZ8GUPm6WEKh06bM5MattZZ9l0uua_931eLxz3JMR86ed42qndhwP=
5tgdyQlzmU2Wu90768$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...CHS...CAE...GSP...FFC...

LAT...LON   34308437 34358383 34198270 33828086 33357982 32837973
            32398036 31928095 31938181 32218289 32528344 33148406
            34308437=20


=3D =3D =3D
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