Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0710
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Wed May 08 2024 21:29:18

ACUS11 KWNS 082129
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 082128=20
VAZ000-NCZ000-082230-

Mesoscale Discussion 0710
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0428 PM CDT Wed May 08 2024

Areas affected...southeast Virginia

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely=20

Valid 082128Z - 082230Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent

SUMMARY...An isolated storm across southeast Virginia will pose a
large hail and damaging wind threat through the evening.

DISCUSSION...A storm has formed within an area of weak low-level
confluence across south-central Virginia. The airmass ahead of this
storm is very unstable with 1500 to 2500 J/kg MLCAPE. This storm
appears to be mostly multi-cellular at this time which is consistent
with around 25 to 30 knots of effective shear (per SPC
mesoanalysis). Greater storm organization is possible as this storm
cluster moves east into greater instability this evening. The
environment will support both large hail and damaging wind gusts.
Given the isolated nature of the threat, no watch is expected.

...Bentley/Hart.. 05/08/2024

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!4tomRODz0ZcjjtZGQnXwnwrnZmYtkToo3MT60hEtcP4MD4L4f2wwHhdCs3Nn9xm1Y-MvsdcWE=
EwUII-oiLjdSk7TOO0$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...AKQ...RAH...RNK...

LAT...LON   36827883 37707752 37747595 37027568 36537591 36527799
            36597882 36827883=20


=3D =3D =3D
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