Subj : DAY48SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Tue May 07 2024 08:50:27

ACUS48 KWNS 070850
SWOD48
SPC AC 070848

Day 4-8 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0348 AM CDT Tue May 07 2024

Valid 101200Z - 151200Z

....DISCUSSION...
Isolated severe potential on Day 4/Friday should remain confined to
parts of north FL and vicinity along/ahead of a cold front. The
overall environment and limited spatial extent of the threat does
not appear sufficient to justify including a 15% severe area at this
time. Generally low severe potential is anticipated on Day
5/Saturday, although some strong thunderstorms may still occur
across parts of the FL Peninsula where the cold front stalls.
Guidance generally indicates low-level moisture should attempt to
return northward across parts of the southern Plains around Day
6/Sunday and continuing into early next week. But, generally zonal
mid-level flow across this region, with a weak upper low over the
Great Basin/Southwest, suggests that whatever severe potential
ultimately develops across the southern Plains may tend to remain
fairly isolated.

...Gleason.. 05/07/2024

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