Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0586
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Wed May 01 2024 04:41:18

ACUS11 KWNS 010441
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 010440=20
ARZ000-OKZ000-010645-

Mesoscale Discussion 0586
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1140 PM CDT Tue Apr 30 2024

Areas affected...Northern OK...Northwest AR

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 167...

Valid 010440Z - 010645Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 167
continues.

SUMMARY...Slow-moving MCS will propagate southeast across northern
Oklahoma into northwest Arkansas. Locally damaging winds and large
hail remain the primary risks. New ww will be issued soon.

DISCUSSION...Convection has grown upscale into an MCS over northern
OK/southeast KS/southwest MO. A weak MCV appears to be developing
along the KS/OK/MO border within a broadening precip shield. Given
the low-level warm advection that persists across the southern
Plains, southwesterly LLJ into this complex is expected aid
continued southward propagation. Damaging winds and large hail
remain the primary risks.

...Darrow.. 05/01/2024

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!-YVXPQ7ePDa154dlvlO-5d9NT7RWenve1O0ypu3hZpzj0Pckip1uWbXHsScVFJ41a0KZpE4-R=
-KXdRvlDJs3GDeqm-o$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...TSA...OUN...

LAT...LON   36429433 35739489 36319795 36709806 36409588 36509500
            36429433=20


=3D =3D =3D
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