Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0584
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Wed May 01 2024 01:45:13

ACUS11 KWNS 010145
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 010144=20
MOZ000-KSZ000-010315-

Mesoscale Discussion 0584
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0844 PM CDT Tue Apr 30 2024

Areas affected...Northern/Western Missouri

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 166...

Valid 010144Z - 010315Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 166
continues.

SUMMARY...A few strong/severe storms will linger, mainly across
northern Missouri this evening.

DISCUSSION...Convective trends are down early this evening, partly
due to cooling boundary-layer conditions. Convection that developed
along/ahead of the cold front/dryline has advanced east-southeast
across the instability axis. This activity is encountering a less
buoyant environment and updrafts are gradually weakening. Latest
trends suggest convection near the IA border may linger a bit
longer, primarily due to the southern influence of the upper MS
Valley short-wave trough. Even so, marginally severe hail may become
the primary risk over the next hour or so.

...Darrow.. 05/01/2024

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!8IhEloawksyZIZeScyR0O9ZQ_nC_bVTEeKpfnuftzw5W3EVlG7XgF77RkNkIVuIyQQ-cMRz8K=
fZwJu-JOMtHCG1erw8$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...LSX...DVN...SGF...EAX...TOP...

LAT...LON   38129544 40539430 40549200 38109323 38129544=20


=3D =3D =3D
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