Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0578
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Tue Apr 30 2024 20:57:40

ACUS11 KWNS 302057
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 302057=20
IAZ000-MOZ000-NEZ000-302230-

Mesoscale Discussion 0578
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0357 PM CDT Tue Apr 30 2024

Areas affected...Central and western Iowa and far eastern Nebraska

Concerning...Tornado Watch 163...

Valid 302057Z - 302230Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 163 continues.

SUMMARY...Tornado and severe threat increasing through late
afternoon/early evening.

DISCUSSION...A few discrete supercells continue to mature across
portions of far western/southwestern Iowa and far eastern Nebraska.
These storms have developed near a deepening surface cyclone,
attendant to an upper level shortwave trough, and ahead of a cold
front within an increasingly unstable air mass. Backed surface flow
remains in place within the warm sector across central and south
central Iowa, and the warm front is slowly lifting northward. As a
mid level jet max around 50-60 kt continues to overspread the
region, low level shear profiles/hodographs will become even more
favorable for tornadic supercells. This may especially be true along
the aforementioned effective warm front where nearly parallel
effective shear vectors with magnitudes of 55-60 kt will persist
into early evening.

...Barnes/Lyons/Hart.. 04/30/2024

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!4RKVXmAdagzljJWo_I46Nu7Z-5Ayl5fF5PslV02yvJfi036itvVomsvEmrctoDnqetp0HKZpi=
Oa6IZm19nXKYiPdABo$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...DMX...EAX...FSD...OAX...

LAT...LON   40649598 40699653 41099604 41749649 42339629 42309575
            42259424 42259364 41959257 41269256 40759259 40519282
            40529365 40539411 40589479 40599527 40619547 40649598=20


=3D =3D =3D
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