Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0550
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Sun Apr 28 2024 00:31:41

ACUS11 KWNS 280031
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 280030=20
OKZ000-TXZ000-280130-

Mesoscale Discussion 0550
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0730 PM CDT Sat Apr 27 2024

Areas affected...Southern Plains

Concerning...Severe potential...Tornado Watch likely=20

Valid 280030Z - 280130Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...95 percent

SUMMARY...Tornado watch will be issued soon across the southern
Plains from northwest TX across much of OK.

DISCUSSION...Leading edge of large-scale ascent is spreading across
the southern high Plains early this evening. Agitated boundary-layer
cu field is deepening along the dryline over TX, indicative of the
approaching trough. Convection is expected to increase in areal
coverage into the southwest flank of ongoing southwest-northeast
MCS, then gradually shift east. 00z sounding from OUN exhibited very
strong shear (400m2/s2 0-3km SRH) with MLCAPE around 2300 J/kg,
though slightly capped. Supercells and thunderstorm clusters are
expected to continue, and increase in areal coverage later this
evening as the trough shifts east. New tornado watch is warranted.

...Darrow/Smith.. 04/28/2024

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!7Y0aCSAch4860_94w9W0iSDosr057_O16zUK6QJj7i4xebLhqnyX29OBpsrpm4LeX6aqzIIsk=
MoQUQCiuFFOc5MMk2c$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...TSA...FWD...OUN...SJT...LUB...AMA...

LAT...LON   34720012 36989633 35859456 33139792 32830002 34720012=20


=3D =3D =3D
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM and you already have a login, go to
https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link.  Otherwise email
Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-STORM.

--- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
 * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)

.