Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0546
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Sat Apr 27 2024 21:32:40

ACUS11 KWNS 272132
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 272131=20
MOZ000-KSZ000-272230-

Mesoscale Discussion 0546
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0431 PM CDT Sat Apr 27 2024

Areas affected...Eastern KS/Western MO

Concerning...Severe potential...Tornado Watch likely=20

Valid 272131Z - 272230Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...95 percent

SUMMARY...Tornado watch is warranted for eastern Kansas and western
Missouri.

DISCUSSION...Northeast-southwest oriented corridor of severe
convection extends across southeast KS into north-central OK.
Supercells are embedded along this zone which is gradually lifting
northeast into a modestly buoyant and strongly sheared environment.
LLJ is forecast to increase across eastern OK into southwest MO
later this evening which will encourage this complex to
spread/develop downstream. While some clustering is evident,
supercells will likely be embedded/maintained given the strong
shear. Tornadoes remain a distinct possibility along with large
hail.

...Darrow/Smith.. 04/27/2024

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!4wjrWdS7bvY6OuQHs1hP1RAsyS-0plz6Km-fAt3CvbwMONL26-sWSehDT2PNsW7JHjLWte3UX=
3D3ApNMfOVMPEX6zeY$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...SGF...EAX...TOP...ICT...

LAT...LON   37119599 39259477 39079293 37229383 37119599=20


=3D =3D =3D
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