Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0538
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Sat Apr 27 2024 14:24:34

ACUS11 KWNS 271424
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 271424=20
OKZ000-TXZ000-271600-

Mesoscale Discussion 0538
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0924 AM CDT Sat Apr 27 2024

Areas affected...Western OK and the southeast TX Panhandle

Concerning...Tornado Watch 144...

Valid 271424Z - 271600Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 144 continues.

SUMMARY...Severe storm threat will increase through midday across
the southeast Texas Panhandle into west-central and southwest
Oklahoma.

DISCUSSION...Convection along and ahead of the dryline across the
southeast TX Panhandle into west-central OK has thus far largely
struggled to turn the corner and produce severe weather yet this
morning amid several candidate updrafts. Insolation ahead of this
activity is greatest in western north TX from the CDS vicinity
southward. It is plausible that sustained supercell development may
evolve from the Hale County storm as it tracks along the 67 F
isodrosotherm into southwest OK, as weak MLCIN noted in 12Z
soundings erodes. Large hail will the primary initial threat with
tornado potential increasing into early afternoon amid a 40-45 kt
southerly low-level jet per FDR VWP data.

...Grams.. 04/27/2024

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!5NXrTbfpEUZ0V2jn3BmFq0UNGebmWKpELu548qmB3eYFgeuA_J_wN6A5UWdOaGI5_Uf2s82R-=
nItTOlw8hVjq3AerhE$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...OUN...LUB...AMA...

LAT...LON   35710004 36269888 36439817 36349779 35989764 35459787
            35219829 34959873 34439941 33880036 33920093 34500086
            35710004=20


=3D =3D =3D
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