Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0444
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Mon Apr 15 2024 20:41:17

ACUS11 KWNS 152041
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 152040=20
MDZ000-DEZ000-VAZ000-DCZ000-WVZ000-152215-

Mesoscale Discussion 0444
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0340 PM CDT Mon Apr 15 2024

Areas affected...portions of WV...VA...MD and DE

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 109...

Valid 152040Z - 152215Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 109
continues.

SUMMARY...A severe hail and damaging wind risk will continue into
the evening across Severe Thunderstorm Watch 109.

DISCUSSION...Scattered thunderstorms have mainly posed a large hail
risk through the afternoon across portions of West Virginia through
northern Virginia as activity has remained more cellular. As
convection continues to track southeast and additional storms
develop, an increasing risk for damaging winds is possible across
parts of of southeast VA toward the Chesapeake Bay vicinity. Some
clustering via storm interactions is evident in convection from
Culpeper County VA toward Charles County MD, and this may be the
beginnings of increased damaging wind potential with south and east
extent. This area is within a corridor of very steep low-level lapse
rates and strong DCAPE, supporting damaging wind potential.
Otherwise, expected convection to continue developing southeastward,
with an accompany severe risk, through early evening.

...Leitman.. 04/15/2024

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!9_xpuFYHw45EtBIk6Bs8FEh1bDik3x_C8rXVSpDkf5lZUMIExooAWl-LV-PguhYmChYXAkf6P=
pMiLzFNad_HTysG0hE$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...PHI...AKQ...LWX...RNK...PBZ...RLX...

LAT...LON   38867697 38807529 38507505 37877521 36937570 36687612
            36627758 36698038 37118127 39108143 38787716 38867697=20


=3D =3D =3D
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