Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0388
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Tue Apr 09 2024 00:28:05

ACUS11 KWNS 090028
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 090027=20
TXZ000-090200-

Mesoscale Discussion 0388
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0727 PM CDT Mon Apr 08 2024

Areas affected...portions of northwest Texas

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 91...

Valid 090027Z - 090200Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 91
continues.

SUMMARY...The threat for large hail will increase through the
evening.

DISCUSSION...Storms have formed and moved north of a frontal zone
across Northwest Texas. The long, straight hodograph, evident on the
LBB VWP) supports splitting supercells, with a few already evident
in that region. In fact, the only hail report thus far (1.75") came
from a left-moving supercell. Expect this cluster of supercells to
continue northeast and gradually intensify through the evening as
instability increases with northwestward moisture advection. Limited
instability to the north of this cluster should limit the longevity
of left-movers, with the hail threat remaining mostly south of the
Red River.=20

Watch 91 will be cleared in the wake of this cluster of supercells.
An additional threat for large hail is expected overnight as
stronger ascent overspreads the southern Plains, but this will be
handled with a separate watch, if necessary.

...Bentley/Hart.. 04/09/2024

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!-vhuYbS_trI13w7B0-_KtR6ZAeCnQj3HdEwKSPKMN_wOsKLdKnm_SzE6Xrs-Q2rd9ahnbdWUT=
8faHfUFa48Bi3k8DYY$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...FWD...OUN...SJT...LUB...MAF...

LAT...LON   32570114 32820137 33100126 33530082 33690062 33780023
            33909965 33809872 33439860 32869877 32479930 32319991
            32290041 32310060 32570114=20


=3D =3D =3D
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