Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0361
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Wed Apr 03 2024 01:44:14

ACUS11 KWNS 030144
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 030143=20
GAZ000-ALZ000-030345-

Mesoscale Discussion 0361
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0843 PM CDT Tue Apr 02 2024

Areas affected...Central Alabama into western Georgia

Concerning...Tornado Watch 82...

Valid 030143Z - 030345Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 82 continues.

SUMMARY...A cluster of strong thunderstorms over west-central AL may
intensify in the next hour or two, posing a risk of a few tornadoes
and wind damage.

DISCUSSION...A cluster of thunderstorms that formed over southeast
MS has now moved into west-central and southwest AL.  The air mass
ahead of these storms continues to moisten with dewpoints in the mid
60s now as far north as BHM.  Meanwhile, an intensifying southerly
low-level jet is focusing across southern/central AL as shown by
regional VAD data.  Recent hodographs from the BMX/MXX/EOX radars
show large, looping shear profiles with 0-3km SRH values of 300-400
m2/s2.  00z RAOBs from BMX/FFC showed a deep warm-layer from 0-4km,
that has thus far limited updrafts strength.  However, model
guidance suggests this layer will cool somewhat in the next 1-2
hours, allowing more robust convection.  Both the HRRR and recent
WoFS runs show the corridor from the current storms eastward to the
south of the BHM area toward the western ATL suburbs as having a
relatively greater threat in the next few hours for severe storms
including a few tornadoes.

...Hart.. 04/03/2024

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!7TQX6RjgzNzhb7Qwmrnb5l3x7QgzhTF-urXe1GMT5nhOvT5LkJ5axivC6d3ep3mmnuVDwKgk0=
cSas48OzS4BBWjLmP0$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...FFC...BMX...

LAT...LON   33298701 33888490 32958500 32298782 33298701=20


=3D =3D =3D
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