Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0321
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Mon Apr 01 2024 19:13:54

ACUS11 KWNS 011913
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 011913=20
TXZ000-012045-

Mesoscale Discussion 0321
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0213 PM CDT Mon Apr 01 2024

Areas affected...Parts of west and central Texas

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely=20

Valid 011913Z - 012045Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent

SUMMARY...Monitoring the area for increasing severe-storm potential.
Large hail and severe gusts are the main concerns. A watch is likely
in the next 30 minutes or so.

DISCUSSION...Isolated storms are developing along the dryline this
afternoon, and this activity will generally spread
east-northeastward through the afternoon -- in conjunction with an
approaching lobe of midlevel ascent. While initial storms may be
high-based with a localized severe risk, the risk will gradually
increase over the next few hours as storms move into moderate/strong
surface-based buoyancy and rapidly increasing deep-layer shear.
Generally straight hodographs will favor large to very large hail
and severe winds with supercells and organized clusters. A watch is
likely in the next 30 minutes or so.

...Weinman/Thompson.. 04/01/2024

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!5u2-Kodtwbp863DtwROqO26XHoDwb3LZ2Qb_F1OqKW8rBJJXBWrDFJn1FabV_8piA5qMrq6ru=
2LewakOtefql3JvWcQ$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...FWD...SJT...LUB...MAF...

LAT...LON   31450151 32240142 32750107 33190040 33399988 33339928
            33279834 32929804 32379797 31769798 31209847 31039919
            30879994 30780094 31030144 31450151=20


=3D =3D =3D
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