Subj : DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Mon Mar 18 2024 00:51:32

ACUS01 KWNS 180051
SWODY1
SPC AC 180049

Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0749 PM CDT Sun Mar 17 2024

Valid 180100Z - 181200Z

....NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

....SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms are not forecast across the contiguous United
States tonight.

....Synopsis...
A split flow pattern, featuring an amplifying upper trough over the
East and a closed low over the Desert Southwest, are the notable
large-scale features tonight.  A mid-level disturbance embedded
within strong west-southwesterly flow over the northeast Gulf Coast
region, will continue east and be offshore the Carolina coast by
early Monday morning.  Scattered showers/thunderstorms over the
northeast Gulf will likely continue into the overnight with isolated
thunderstorms possibly moving across portions of the western and
northern FL Peninsula tonight.  Weak instability (i.e., weak lapse
rates) observed on the 00z Tampa Bay sounding and gradual diurnal
cooling of the boundary layer will tend to limit storm intensity.
Severe thunderstorm activity is not expected across the Gulf Coast
tonight.

...Smith.. 03/18/2024

$$

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