Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0248
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Fri Mar 15 2024 01:32:22

ACUS11 KWNS 150132
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 150131=20
ARZ000-150230-

Mesoscale Discussion 0248
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0831 PM CDT Thu Mar 14 2024

Areas affected...Central Arkansas

Concerning...Tornado Watch 45...

Valid 150131Z - 150230Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 45 continues.

SUMMARY...A strong tornado will be possible in the vicinity of
western Little Rock over the next hour.

DISCUSSION...Low-level flow as increased over the last hour across
central Arkansas. 0-1 km storm-relative helicity on the WSR-88D VWP
at Little Rock has increased from near 150 m2/s2 to about 225 m2/s2.
This increase in low-level shear will continue to support a tornado
threat. The storm to the west of Little Rock in the area around Hot
Springs has had a history of tornadoes. As this storm moves
east-northeastward, the storm-scale environment could support the
development of a strong tornado in the vicinity of western Little
Rock over the next 60 minutes.

...Broyles.. 03/15/2024

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!6GvM72AHKvH2JnHTfaIA9DsfLVi-EeNaJ3D0LDsK4cf0lFgABYJSalMrjRynLEQUQE42d6VQL=
Ny896EkTWyo8zKLeow$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...LZK...

LAT...LON   34799183 34639228 34489325 34839342 35139256 35199193
            35009172 34799183=20


=3D =3D =3D
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