Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0245
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Fri Mar 15 2024 00:21:24

ACUS11 KWNS 150021
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 150020=20
INZ000-ILZ000-150145-

Mesoscale Discussion 0245
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0720 PM CDT Thu Mar 14 2024

Areas affected...Southern Illinois into central/southern Indiana

Concerning...Tornado Watch 43...44...

Valid 150020Z - 150145Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 43, 44 continues.

SUMMARY...All severe hazards remain possible. The tornado threat
will be conditional on storms remaining discrete. With time,
damaging winds and isolated large hail will become the primary
hazards.

DISCUSSION...Storm mode has become less discrete over the last
couple of hours. However, supercell structures remain in southern
Illinois. Locally backed surface winds in southern Illinois will
promote a slightly greater tornado risk in that area ahead of the
supercells. The tornado threat will be generally conditional on
maintaining a discrete storm mode. Otherwise, with time, damaging
winds will likely become the primary threat. Large hail would still
be possible, but would be more isolated given the less favorable
storm mode expected.

...Wendt.. 03/15/2024

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!8jIdfY02_tIy1-ntdQO41DPb5gDeHByFBN0jiDDpcnq-4pEBz5ukPaL5Rdac2We6ztXky6Hzv=
rzhqCayMDVAQPchreg$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...LMK...IND...PAH...ILX...LSX...

LAT...LON   38418986 39508767 39928685 40018626 39738588 39248569
            38588632 38038753 37968869 38048947 38418986=20


=3D =3D =3D
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