Subj : DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Mon Mar 11 2024 04:38:15

ACUS01 KWNS 110438
SWODY1
SPC AC 110436

Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1136 PM CDT Sun Mar 10 2024

Valid 111200Z - 121200Z

....NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

....SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms are not expected on Monday.

....Discussion...
Thunderstorm potential will remain negligible across much of the
CONUS through Monday night. A low-amplitude shortwave impulse moving
east across the northern Great Basin amid minimal buoyancy might
support a very isolated, low-topped thunderstorm in the northern UT
vicinity during the afternoon. Otherwise, a pair of shortwave
impulses will move onshore across the Pacific Northwest. While the
lead impulse should lack appreciable lightning potential, it will
aid in cooling mid-level temperatures. Scant surface-based buoyancy
should develop ahead of the latter impulse Monday night, yielding a
thunder probability around 10 percent early Tuesday morning.

...Grams/Thornton.. 03/11/2024

$$

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