Subj : DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Sun Mar 10 2024 16:18:39

ACUS01 KWNS 101618
SWODY1
SPC AC 101617

Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1117 AM CDT Sun Mar 10 2024

Valid 101630Z - 111200Z

....NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

....SUMMARY...
Severe storms are not expected today.

....Synopsis...
A broad upper low over the eastern US is forecast to move slowly
eastward today as an associated cold front moves offshore across New
England and South FL. To the west, a weak Pacific upper trough will
move inland with ascent overspreading the Cascades and northern
Rockies. Transient ridging over the central US will keep much of the
country cool and stable with dry offshore flow.

Weak thunderstorms ongoing across southern New England should
gradually diminish through the day as the increasingly narrow warm
sector moves toward the coast. Across South FL, weak convergence
along the cold front and limited large-scale ascent should keep
thunderstorm coverage low. Thunderstorm chances should lessen this
afternoon as weak buoyancy is removed with the frontal passage.
Across the Northwest, mid-level cooling and steepening lapse rates
aloft may support isolated lightning flashes over portions of the
Pacific Coast, Cascades and northern Rockies. However, with low
storm coverage and marginal thermodynamics expected, severe weather
is not expected.

...Smith/Lyons.. 03/10/2024

$$

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