Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0207
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Fri Mar 08 2024 21:43:25

ACUS11 KWNS 082143
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 082142=20
ALZ000-FLZ000-MSZ000-LAZ000-082315-

Mesoscale Discussion 0207
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0342 PM CST Fri Mar 08 2024

Areas affected...portions of eastern Louisiana...southern
Mississippi...and southwest Alabama

Concerning...Tornado Watch 32...

Valid 082142Z - 082315Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 32 continues.

SUMMARY...The environment remains broadly favorable for damaging
gusts and a tornado or two this afternoon across WW032.

DISCUSSION...Across Tornado Watch 32, widespread convection is
ongoing along a southward surging outflow across parts of southern
MS and eastern LA. Transient supercell structures and bowing
segments have been noted with this activity over the past several
hours. The environment remains broadly favorable for damaging gusts
of 50-60 mph and/or a brief tornado, given ~1000 J/kg of MLCAPE and
50-60+ kt of effective shear. However, the surging nature of outflow
and numerous storm interactions may continue to limit greater severe
potential within this broader cluster.

Farther south, more discrete convection is ongoing across
southeastern LA and far southern MS. An impressive kinematic
parameter space with strong low-level shear (0-1 km SRH of 300-400
m2/s2) remains in place along with minimal inhibition. WOFS and
other hi-res guidance continue to suggest a favorable environment
for damaging gusts of 55-65 mph and a tornado, should better
organized supercells emerge. With this in mind, the severe risk will
likely continue as storms track east/northeastward the warm front
over parts of southern AL.

...Lyons.. 03/08/2024

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!5YyX6MCRWFsLxij5tA-V5QTdL8OdL0H-OjhpboBlMeqbtFJAD5HMcJtHndkMJnq9_m2rv2UVc=
4X-s6TQTS27BLWGeCw$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...MOB...JAN...LIX...LCH...

LAT...LON   29699036 29689161 29949189 30459163 31509034 31878881
            31858770 31638746 30788748 30088750 29699036=20


=3D =3D =3D
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